This peaked at 71% of respondents in 4Q2025 – the highest proportion in the last five years.
At the latest meeting of the BCIS TPI Panel in 4Q2025, panellists expanded on this. Looking ahead, they underlined concerns over contractor order books in late 2026, with reports suggesting some regional contractors are prepared to diversify into different markets to retain their margins.
So where does this leave procurement trends for the coming months?
It’s likely that an aversion to single-stage design and build procurement will remain in the near-term.
CPI inflation and the cost of borrowing might be easing but contractors could still face shrinking margins as elevated business and construction costs persist and the inflationary pressure of skills shortages bite.
At the same time, contractors could well be asked to do more with less as clients push for project starts. Many clients themselves face the pressure of wage increases and growing business costs and are naturally looking for better value for money.
Continued preference for two-stage and negotiated tendering is to be expected as contractors seek secure, well-funded work. That said, a reported reduction in private sector tendering opportunities could prompt contractors to consider other routes.
Frameworks, for instance, which can reduce the tendering burden on contractors while increasing pipeline predictability and visibility. This approach can also afford clients more competitive tender prices, greater time and cost efficiency and budget confidence.
A stronger market shaping of procurement trends could also be on the cards.
BCIS TPI Panel observations shed light on promising public sector prospects at the tail end of 2025, particularly across the healthcare, justice and defence sectors, as well as the increased demand in the data centre space.
Should private sector market conditions remain sluggish, risk-led procurement could shift if contractors are forced to bid for the work that’s available and choose cash flow over caution.
Procurement preferences aside, client- and contractor-side cost consultants will, as ever, have a pivotal role in balancing project value with market realism.
Utilising construction-specific cost tools will help to evidence project cost drivers to clients and allow them to better understand what they’re asking of contractors. The same goes for contractor teams – for instance, using BCIS cost data to support contract negotiation.
Client budgets and contractor margins are ultimately both up against a stagnant economy.
How well both parties understand and manage cost risks in the months to come will play a key role in how procurement trends pan out.
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