Dr David Crosthwaite, chief economist at BCIS, said: ‘The latest ONS data suggest construction output is holding back wider economic growth. While a slight uplift in GDP in August is no doubt welcome, it is not cause for celebration.
‘Construction, when performing well, is a powerful engine of economic growth. However, output has either contracted or remained relatively subdued on a quarterly basis for much of this year. The annual picture is even more concerning, with the ONS’s seasonally adjusted All Work index recording annual declines for ten consecutive months.
‘The government must recognise the role it can play in reversing this trend. While it has limited influence on geopolitical events and their impact on energy markets, or wider supply-side pressures affecting particular commodities, there are levers within its control.
‘Fiscal policy and spending commitments can help stimulate investment, while measures to ease business cost pressures could improve project viability and support delivery. Beyond reaffirming housing and infrastructure funding and providing greater certainty through the next update to NISTA’s infrastructure pipeline, these could include extending the freeze on fuel duty and avoiding further increases in statutory wage thresholds and employers’ National Insurance contributions.
‘Sector-specific interventions are also needed. With both public and private new housing output declining in August, the government must urgently examine the cumulative costs of development and consider what concessions or targeted support could help improve project viability.’
Real GDP grew by 0.7% in the three months to August 2026. Construction output fell by 1.0% in the same period while output in the services and production sectors rose by 0.9% and 0.2% respectively.
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